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Bubble Watch: The Countdown to Selection Sunday is ON!

This page will be frequently updated throughout Conference Tournament week with insights on how wins, losses, and upsets will affect the eventual tournament Bracket.

THURSDAY

BIG TEN — Minnesota outhit and came from behind to beat Ohio State 3-2 in the Big Ten tournament quarterfinals on Thursday. From a postseason perspective, the Gophers are locked into an NCAA tournament berth and the win only betters their resume. From Ohio State’s perspective, a deeper run into the Big Ten tournament would certainly have helped, but the Buckeyes should still feel like they’re on solid footing heading into Selection Sunday. At a 43 RPI, but undoubtedly flying to a regional, the Buckeyes could be a 2-seed or a 3-seed in their eventual regional.

ASUN — North Alabama upset Central Arkansas 2-0 on Thursday, the Bears’ first game of the ASun tournament. The double-elimination bracket means UCA will play at least once more before going home, but even games, much less losses, against lower-ranked RPI teams are something that the Bears can ill-afford despite their high RPI. UCA is safely in the NCAA tournament field, but where and in what position is still an unanswered question – and that answer could be answered based on their conference tournament showing.

SEC — Florida’s 6-2 win over Kentucky is the first of several necessary steps for the Gators if they hope to re-enter the conversation for a regional hosting bid. As it stands, the Gators are not close to being a regional host – they entered the day at #22 in the latest RPI. A win over similarly-ranked Kentucky will likely not move the needle for Florida, but it does add another quality win to the Gators’ resume. The loss doesn’t change Kentucky’s standing – the Wildcats are a 2-seed destined for a trip elsewhere outside of Lexington.

SUN BELT — South Alabama bested James Madison 4-0 in the Jaguars’ opening game of the Sun Belt tournament on Thursday. For South Al, every win slightly betters their NCAA tournament resume – absent USA’s best-case scenario of winning the conference tournament, a rematch against the Ragin Cajuns in the tournament final could put the Jags in a more serious conversation within the tournament selection room.

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